Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Faria vs Wawrinka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcda3d1825ac8cdf34d2968aa4c78a65bde15285dba497854fb3346a416bdf3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wawrinkaof Faria, Wawrinka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Wawrinka | 38c | 2,063$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.9 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Faria | 76c | 1,140$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.51 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Faria | 51c | 1,091$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.05 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed Faria | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Faria | 61c | 337.36$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Faria | 50c | 224$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Faria | 9c | 220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Wawrinka | 43c | 198.46$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Wawrinka | 51c | 193.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Wawrinka | 38c | 122$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Wawrinka | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Wawrinka | 53c | 121.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Wawrinka | 52c | 107.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Faria | 48c | 106$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Faria | 48c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Wawrinka | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Faria | 57c | 88.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Wawrinka | 39c | 66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Faria | 42c | 53.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Wawrinka | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…3c18backed Wawrinka | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Faria | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 266 | 40.6%108 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Faria | 58c | 47.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…e81bbacked Wawrinka | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed Wawrinka | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Wawrinka | 49c | 41.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Faria | 39c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Wawrinka | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Faria | 44c | 30.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Wawrinka | 55c | 26.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Faria | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Faria | 58c | 18.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Faria vs Wawrinkathis page
- Faria vs. Wawrinka: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set 2 Winner: Faria vs WawrinkaFaria won
- Set Handicap: Faria (-1.5) vs Wawrinka (+1.5)Wawrinka won
- Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Stan WawrinkaJaime Faria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.