Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcdc6a32580f520e6289f6d94b7dd00839a116082437f0c76a7bcc2a00b3ce1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 39c | 963.4$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.73 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 61c | 726.89$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.49 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 61c | 599.96$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.98 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Over | 36c | 311.3$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.07 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 34c | 262.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 33c | 234.74$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb1…b580backed Over | 36c | 225.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…5808backed Over | 36c | 224.91$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 38c | 153.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 64c | 152.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 39c | 137.03$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…b3d8backed Under | 67c | 89.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 243 | 59.3%144 W · 99 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Over | 36c | 85.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 304 | 40.1%122 W · 182 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Under | 62c | 85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…dbf0backed Under | 63c | 84.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 27c | 80.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Under | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3c…5727backed Under | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Under | 72c | 72.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked Under | 72c | 59.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Over | 33c | 57.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Over | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Over | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88f…34cebacked Over | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Under | 66c | 19.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Team WE won
- First Blood in Game 2?Team WE won
- Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?Yes won
- Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Weibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.