CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Linx Legacy Esport vs Fortress (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd039451b4cc60096851cbdcb401ddf4bd450cb597d274a248ce76eecd99be98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Linx Legacy Esportof Linx Legacy Esport, Fortress
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fortress | 11c | 436.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Linx Legacy Esport | 44c | 387.91$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.91 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Fortress | 45c | 342$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.36 | 769 | 33.8%260 W · 509 L | -48.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Fortress | 42c | 136.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Fortress | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Fortress | 47c | 99.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 753 | 56.8%428 W · 325 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed Linx Legacy Esport | 53c | 95.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…04ffbacked Linx Legacy Esport | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…93f1backed Fortress | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Linx Legacy Esport | 65c | 43.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Linx Legacy Esport | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Fortress | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Linx Legacy Esport | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Linx Legacy Esport | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.