CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd0a9be6a8b9e9192c30838ab4f23f37a63f8c62f4a6ac5b2cd1ebe2d4308dbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donstu Esportsof Donstu Esports, The Last Resort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed The Last Resort | 20c | 452.48$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.33 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Donstu Esports | 43c | 399.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked The Last Resort | 57c | 381.13$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.24 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed The Last Resort | 5c | 335$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Donstu Esports | 41c | 307.9$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.66 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked The Last Resort | 59c | 287.87$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.64 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed The Last Resort | 50c | 287.21$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.43 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed The Last Resort | 40c | 205.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.89 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Donstu Esports | 51c | 135.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Donstu Esports | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Donstu Esports | 45c | 109.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Donstu Esports | 47c | 102.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed The Last Resort | 48c | 91.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked The Last Resort | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked The Last Resort | 58c | 73.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Donstu Esports | 66c | 64.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Donstu Esports | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked Donstu Esports | 58c | 55.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Donstu Esports | 47c | 55.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed Donstu Esports | 80c | 43.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed The Last Resort | 52c | 33.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked The Last Resort | 34c | 29.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed The Last Resort | 53c | 25.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked The Last Resort | 52c | 24.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc53b…b732backed The Last Resort | 67c | 18.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked The Last Resort | 59c | 18.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.