CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd29a8cb22856c5e003ab4983c7fb3d5ec4577dc9ebaec65887eee8d880a036f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof Lazer Cats, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 45c | 545.42$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.89 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lazer Cats | 49c | 456.69$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.61 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Lazer Cats | 43c | 187.39$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed MOUZ NXT | 79c | 143.19$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Lazer Cats | 49c | 102.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Lazer Cats | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed MOUZ NXT | 73c | 85.2$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked MOUZ NXT | 46c | 77.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…5f0ebacked Lazer Cats | 78c | 64.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked MOUZ NXT | 76c | 61.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Lazer Cats | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Lazer Cats | 37c | 52.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…e2eabacked MOUZ NXT | 39c | 50.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ NXT | 65c | 47.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 37c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ NXT | 66c | 29.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked MOUZ NXT | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked Lazer Cats | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -15.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Lazer Cats | 63c | 15.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group AMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.