CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x611442cb3f9c4149b5b3a04ac68243308c6ae147e7ec79e3aa3fbde9f13dfd10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof Lazer Cats, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Lazer Cats | 55c | 1,477$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.57 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 45c | 1,242$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.52 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Lazer Cats | 53c | 1,240$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.2 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 482.08$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.6 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked MOUZ NXT | 44c | 257.97$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.91 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked MOUZ NXT | 30c | 245.4$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.78 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4099…b04abacked MOUZ NXT | 33c | 199.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MOUZ NXT | 43c | 188.57$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.44 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed MOUZ NXT | 36c | 187.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.65 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lazer Cats | 54c | 175.1$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lazer Cats | 33c | 128.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed MOUZ NXT | 20c | 98.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lazer Cats | 49c | 90.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed MOUZ NXT | 20c | 85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked MOUZ NXT | 53c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lazer Cats | 74c | 80.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Lazer Cats | 77c | 72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked MOUZ NXT | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked MOUZ NXT | 46c | 62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Lazer Cats | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked MOUZ NXT | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lazer Cats | 62c | 56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…e2eabacked MOUZ NXT | 45c | 44.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Lazer Cats | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Lazer Cats | 79c | 35.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Lazer Cats | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Lazer Cats | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Lazer Cats | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked MOUZ NXT | 46c | 27.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked MOUZ NXT | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…e5abbacked Lazer Cats | 49c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lazer Cats | 65c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92a3…fe6ebacked MOUZ NXT | 73c | 22.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked Lazer Cats | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -15.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…1909backed Lazer Cats | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Lazer Cats | 61c | 16.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…3f79backed Lazer Cats | 66c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group AMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.