Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Stefani Webb vs Roisin Gilheany
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd6191f9c084f168207c289fdb876e74bef1135a2b2818d21915e0c1fedde4ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefani Webbof Stefani Webb, Roisin Gilheany
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Stefani Webb | 71c | 811.26$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.48 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Roisin Gilheany | 18c | 531$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0f…8033backed Stefani Webb | 77c | 162$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Roisin Gilheany | 33c | 152.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Roisin Gilheany | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Stefani Webb | 67c | 149.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Stefani Webb | 75c | 139.63$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Roisin Gilheany | 33c | 112.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Stefani Webb | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 826 | 59.3%490 W · 336 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Roisin Gilheany | 32c | 68.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Roisin Gilheany | 31c | 57.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…0a65backed Stefani Webb | 43c | 51.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Roisin Gilheany | 36c | 44.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stefani Webb | 42c | 33.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Stefani Webb | 68c | 21.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Stefani Webb | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Stefani Webb | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Stefani Webb | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de5…06bdbacked Stefani Webb | 70c | 16.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…6767backed Stefani Webb | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.