Euroleague · resolved market
Panathinaikos vs. Saski Baskonia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbda149bb689a76d85a59c2b0cd8357f79edfedd95eae5aa5410d7276e512e99c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panathinaikosof Panathinaikos, Saski Baskonia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Saski Baskonia | 18c | 705.56$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Saski Baskonia | 17c | 493.56$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Saski Baskonia | 16c | 487.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Saski Baskonia | 17c | 416.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Saski Baskonia | 19c | 296.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Saski Baskonia | 6c | 260.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Saski Baskonia | 18c | 198$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Saski Baskonia | 17c | 174.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Saski Baskonia | 18c | 166.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Saski Baskonia | 16c | 165.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Saski Baskonia | 18c | 150.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Saski Baskonia | 16c | 149.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Saski Baskonia | 21c | 145$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Saski Baskonia | 19c | 140.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Saski Baskonia | 18c | 133.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Saski Baskonia | 18c | 95.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.