Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FC UNA Strassen (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdbdbc0ccbb100459c556f2681f8bbb77377c3c55f887c9ce267155be030437e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SP La Fioritaof FC UNA Strassen, SP La Fiorita
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FC UNA Strassen | 38c | 5,178$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SP La Fiorita | 65c | 4,299$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.28 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FC UNA Strassen | 51c | 3,688$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.06 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…9648backed FC UNA Strassen | 53c | 1,495$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed SP La Fiorita | 57c | 802.79$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.75 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed SP La Fiorita | 48c | 625.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.01 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SP La Fiorita | 45c | 608.55$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.13 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked SP La Fiorita | 48c | 530.71$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.97 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed SP La Fiorita | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked SP La Fiorita | 51c | 519.89$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.7 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed SP La Fiorita | 50c | 519.39$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.23 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked SP La Fiorita | 47c | 512.51$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.31 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SP La Fiorita | 60c | 437.03$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.81 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed SP La Fiorita | 50c | 257.61$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.22 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed SP La Fiorita | 67c | 237.5$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…6a5dbacked SP La Fiorita | 72c | 135.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SP La Fiorita | 50c | 125.89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.81 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed SP La Fiorita | 47c | 97.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked FC UNA Strassen | 55c | 92.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…1999backed SP La Fiorita | 47c | 79.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed SP La Fiorita | 51c | 77.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed FC UNA Strassen | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked FC UNA Strassen | 37c | 37.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed SP La Fiorita | 44c | 36.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed FC UNA Strassen | 56c | 36.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed SP La Fiorita | 49c | 36.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked SP La Fiorita | 47c | 25.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed SP La Fiorita | 49c | 22.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC UNA Strassen (-1.5)this page
- FC UNA Strassen vs. SP La Fiorita: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC UNA Strassen vs. SP La Fiorita: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC UNA Strassen vs. SP La Fiorita: FC UNA Strassen 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC UNA Strassen vs. SP La Fiorita: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC UNA Strassen vs. SP La Fiorita: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC UNA Strassen vs. SP La Fiorita: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC UNA Strassen vs. SP La Fiorita: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC UNA Strassen vs. SP La Fiorita: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC UNA Strassen vs. SP La Fiorita: SP La Fiorita O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: FC UNA Strassen (-2.5)SP La Fiorita won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.