Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC UNA Strassen vs. SP La Fiorita: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x233e155f188320bfde1ec47f12d78938ec843761d4ffab18c4a9bf307f958685
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 44c | 9,230$4,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,086.55 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 57c | 7,973$4,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428.31 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 1,739$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.52 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 1,565$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.77 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 1,209$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.14 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 73c | 754.3$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.66 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 20c | 739.94$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.57 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 44c | 648.94$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.52 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 67c | 509$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.69 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 76c | 240$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…e03cbacked Over | 53c | 206$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 76c | 205$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.8 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 20c | 94.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 36c | 86.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Over | 51c | 77.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 80c | 66.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 76c | 57.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…6a5dbacked Over | 39c | 52.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -8.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 39c | 48.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Under | 79c | 26.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 52c | 20.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Over | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 79c | 15.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC UNA Strassen vs. SP La Fiorita: O/U 1.5this page
- FC UNA Strassen vs. SP La Fiorita: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC UNA Strassen vs. SP La Fiorita: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC UNA Strassen vs. SP La Fiorita: FC UNA Strassen 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC UNA Strassen vs. SP La Fiorita: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC UNA Strassen vs. SP La Fiorita: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC UNA Strassen vs. SP La Fiorita: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC UNA Strassen vs. SP La Fiorita: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC UNA Strassen vs. SP La Fiorita: SP La Fiorita O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: FC UNA Strassen (-1.5)SP La Fiorita won
- Spread: FC UNA Strassen (-2.5)SP La Fiorita won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.