CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Dripmen (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdcce4dc1d22c630937663bfd025eb1ce6cb486277abd46bc4d4261be5ba785b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Just Playersof Just Players, Dripmen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8120…a9f1backed Dripmen | 3c | 1,041$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dripmen | 28c | 727.14$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.11 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Dripmen | 23c | 547.2$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.83 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Just Players | 39c | 514.43$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.98 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Dripmen | 24c | 466.75$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.02 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Just Players | 76c | 412$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.86 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Dripmen | 39c | 401.04$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.84 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Just Players | 77c | 303.93$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.05 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Dripmen | 56c | 296.52$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.61 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Just Players | 78c | 246.7$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Just Players | 73c | 246$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Dripmen | 10c | 195.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Dripmen | 25c | 179.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Just Players | 74c | 133.49$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Just Players | 41c | 100.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.51 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Dripmen | 28c | 95.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…c619backed Just Players | 33c | 91.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Dripmen | 49c | 79.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Just Players | 76c | 70.68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Just Players | 71c | 69.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Just Players | 75c | 60.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0d…37a2backed Just Players | 40c | 57.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Just Players | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Dripmen | 26c | 48.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Just Players | 75c | 30.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed Dripmen | 64c | 30.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Dripmen (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Dripmen - Map 2 WinnerJust Players won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.