CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fluxo (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdd85d392675a481853827b999a55c0264511b455bd22c9b95f90badfa1d9906
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of G2, Fluxo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Fluxo | 13c | 20,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 219 | 24.2%53 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Fluxo | 14c | 18,689$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.42 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fluxo | 26c | 1,818$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.71 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Fluxo | 14c | 1,741$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.46 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed G2 | 64c | 1,627$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.72 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Fluxo | 12c | 1,604$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.52 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Fluxo | 13c | 1,545$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.92 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed G2 | 75c | 1,178$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.31 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked G2 | 80c | 1,176$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.48 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Fluxo | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked G2 | 78c | 1,042$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Fluxo | 13c | 1,000$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed G2 | 61c | 776.98$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.02 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Fluxo | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Fluxo | 19c | 500$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Fluxo | 38c | 347.79$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.16 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed G2 | 62c | 347.79$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.16 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Fluxo | 36c | 345.34$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.63 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Fluxo | 39c | 303$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.17 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked Fluxo | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed G2 | 71c | 244.86$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 385 | 52.2%201 W · 184 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Fluxo | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed G2 | 61c | 190.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed Fluxo | 12c | 169.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked G2 | 64c | 98.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8456…b31dbacked Fluxo | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Fluxo | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed G2 | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 378 | 51.9%196 W · 182 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Fluxo | 39c | 38.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed G2 | 70c | 33.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed G2 | 72c | 33.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.