TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,250
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,250 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac39…95c7backed Yes58c35,951$20,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,023.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c14,258$7,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,358.756,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c12,141$4,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7954,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No52c5,403$2,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,798.3639555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No49c3,053$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.311,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes26c1,896$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.412853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No74c1,860$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.297061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked No2c1,800$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed No8c1,700$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13060%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes26c1,672$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.534628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed No1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No58c1,090$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.341,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10565.4%3 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+150.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes23c997.65$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.192,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c975.8$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.092,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…d922backed No10c930.28$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5140%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No46c769.89$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.7653344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef65…ab22backed Yes75c736.54$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ad…795fbacked No10c700$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No52c537.07$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.2829250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78fc…8c88backed No8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed No8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+39.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe50…618abacked No8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No52c440.19$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.7212020.8%25 W · 95 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c394.67$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.0684549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7211…c51bbacked Yes57c342.25$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.423060%18 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes52c312.56$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.671,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes65c301.23$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.432941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed No5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick4cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked No5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked No5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151225%3 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick6cpaid+215.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Yes72c292.75$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-52.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddaf…3de6backed Yes49c278.1$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.83540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes28c274.38$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.845347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes57c256.37$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.242373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed No8c225$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes24c195.33$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.453321.2%7 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09b…dee3backed Yes26c191.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.072100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+277.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No12c170.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4232345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No52c165.52$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0718842.6%80 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No29c164.05$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.884835.4%17 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No39c158.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.528456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No60c139.31$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1741956.3%236 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No74c139.13$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7569851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99ec…0da5backed No29c131.62$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ac7…1ad5backed No38c128.78$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.32425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945e…e95fbacked Yes35c121.64$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.86771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x806a…62d7backed Yes26c120.96$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.514535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.657150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f0…186cbacked Yes29c119$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.533119.4%6 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No40c118.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.268052.5%42 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No58c118.29$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.548950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No77c117.61$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.567660.5%46 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1752…682bbacked Yes26c110.26$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.59650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+88.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed No12c106.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.267635.5%27 W · 49 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No74c99.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes25c99.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9815738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed No13c99.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2612543.2%54 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a6f…0c8bbacked Yes54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.42580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+95.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Yes57c85.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.75650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+130.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes71c75$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.536545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No37c73.12$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7574644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No71c68.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9796443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No36c65.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5424557.6%141 W · 104 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No75c65.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2510971.6%78 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed No50c59.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.77444.6%33 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ec2…80c0backed Yes52c56.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.891450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No52c48.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2543241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed No63c47.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.683644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No75c46.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5624052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed No31c45.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.347943%34 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes37c45.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5636462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes45c42.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.646056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed No37c42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.541931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cb…3bbebacked No33c41.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.622766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8df1…e624backed Yes27c38.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.925942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No69c32.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2615038%57 W · 93 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0515858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5521…442abacked No51c28.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8340…b29bbacked No41c28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f86…ef4ebacked No63c24.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4850%0 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed No74c20.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.288441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed No52c19.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.294355.8%24 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked No75c19.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.785860.3%35 W · 23 L-8.2wins-0.14per pick75cpaid-18.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xab7c…746dbacked Yes72c17.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.061233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No75c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1218961.9%117 W · 72 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…348ebacked No75c14.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.662948.3%14 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.