Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK BATE Barysaŭ win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe35f4508b2f71394cdfb4b38bdd75eacb1a2b477d2c5ea0c079a9d9e09885b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 10c | 9,620$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.56 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad16…6de3backed Yes | 1c | 3,741$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 26c | 3,733$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.29 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 6c | 3,419$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.41 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 77c | 2,024$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.72 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 7c | 1,968$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.15 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 71c | 1,333$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.57 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 9c | 1,121$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 13c | 1,045$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Yes | 8c | 1,026$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…2ea3backed Yes | 8c | 378.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 8c | 280.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 10c | 271.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…e79cbacked Yes | 26c | 245.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 7c | 217.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…7b10backed Yes | 8c | 216.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 23c | 141.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 72c | 125.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Yes | 25c | 66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed No | 79c | 48.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed No | 77c | 25.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 70c | 18.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked No | 75c | 17.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK BATE Barysaŭ win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will FC Sion win on 2026-07-23?No won
- Will FK BATE Barysaŭ vs. FC Sion end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.