CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Clair Obscur (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe744812d4cc64430e4b380f8f7638ea6d55d6c9d4c486549c8e8aa2c23c713e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Zero Tenacityof ex-Zero Tenacity, Clair Obscur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98e5…f069backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 69c | 1,047$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.36 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51c…5bbcbacked Clair Obscur | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Clair Obscur | 32c | 525.6$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.8 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 58c | 299.5$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.79 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 53c | 232.92$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.75 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 68c | 171.63$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 57c | 141.15$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Clair Obscur | 34c | 138.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Clair Obscur | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Clair Obscur | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…d308backed Clair Obscur | 11c | 112$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Clair Obscur | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 77c | 38.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Clair Obscur | 37c | 35.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 78c | 25.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.