Tennis · resolved market
Centurion 2: Oscar Weightman vs Devin Badenhorst
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe764cc9e239d5b7aa3e2ab60e32abd3304fa6f9043fdbfcbedb2f2a08342fe2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devin Badenhorstof Oscar Weightman, Devin Badenhorst
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c21…3bc2backed Oscar Weightman | 2c | 13,152$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.16 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Oscar Weightman | 9c | 5,200$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.95 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…7bdabacked Devin Badenhorst | 69c | 3,011$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.06 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Oscar Weightman | 35c | 2,487$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.45 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Devin Badenhorst | 79c | 2,482$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.8 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Devin Badenhorst | 65c | 1,637$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.84 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Oscar Weightman | 31c | 1,269$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.77 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Oscar Weightman | 34c | 999.88$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.96 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Oscar Weightman | 7c | 884.34$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Oscar Weightman | 14c | 800.34$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.05 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Oscar Weightman | 3c | 747.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Oscar Weightman | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Oscar Weightman | 35c | 555.55$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.44 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Devin Badenhorst | 66c | 527.62$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.39 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Devin Badenhorst | 66c | 518.16$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.17 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Oscar Weightman | 11c | 447.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Oscar Weightman | 4c | 446.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Devin Badenhorst | 65c | 390.14$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.52 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Oscar Weightman | 10c | 331.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Oscar Weightman | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Oscar Weightman | 20c | 224.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Oscar Weightman | 35c | 204.31$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Devin Badenhorst | 65c | 153.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Devin Badenhorst | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Oscar Weightman | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Oscar Weightman | 33c | 142.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Devin Badenhorst | 65c | 119.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Oscar Weightman | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Devin Badenhorst | 70c | 92.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Devin Badenhorst | 65c | 77.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Oscar Weightman | 32c | 74.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Oscar Weightman | 31c | 72.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Oscar Weightman | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Oscar Weightman | 33c | 58.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Oscar Weightman | 35c | 57.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Oscar Weightman | 33c | 55.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Oscar Weightman | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Devin Badenhorst | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Oscar Weightman | 33c | 39.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…3329backed Oscar Weightman | 35c | 36.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Oscar Weightman | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -40.4wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Devin Badenhorst | 66c | 26.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f5…c284backed Devin Badenhorst | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Devin Badenhorst | 64c | 18.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Devin Badenhorst | 66c | 16.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Centurion 2: Oscar Weightman vs Devin Badenhorstthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Weightman vs BadenhorstBadenhorst won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.