Europa Conference League · resolved market
Tromsø IL vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe98fcab207a5916e7701424e81a900e6fb87a4071ff2f3cf7a08364868530fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 7c | 2,557$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.18 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 4c | 712.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 15c | 454.44$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.18 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 25c | 350$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.2 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 8c | 291.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.02 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 8c | 248.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.8 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 12c | 228.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.69 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 63c | 150$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…c32abacked Over | 70c | 143.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…7166backed Over | 77c | 123.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 38c | 63.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Under | 28c | 51.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 63c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d71…ca3ebacked Over | 53c | 39.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 59c | 39.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tromsø IL vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Tromsø IL won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Tromsø IL won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Tromsø IL vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tromsø IL vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Tromsø IL O/U 0.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.