Asian League · resolved market
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf3461f51c9dda4eb4b35de84282c8c7814eb997752999e5ef03c37c1ed8fe1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 1,725$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.48 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,133$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.03 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 34c | 888.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 66c | 873.22$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.6 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 66c | 438$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.92 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked Yes | 67c | 300.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 65c | 298.81$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…50d4backed No | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 65c | 149.45$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 34c | 141.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 65c | 99.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 421 | 51.3%216 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Yes | 65c | 99.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 35c | 95.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 35c | 92.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 35c | 81.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 34c | 72.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 35c | 63.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 35c | 57.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 25c | 54.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 35c | 50.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…6c45backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Yes | 66c | 26.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Beijing Guoan FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.