Asian League · resolved market
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb14954ee0a01325f2925d85c374fbb7e9662372e5119c27d60e46f77adda038
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 73c | 7,682$5,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.9 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 34c | 6,987$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.5 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 49c | 4,938$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.75 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 31c | 4,615$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.49 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 1,419$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.79 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 1,399$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.97 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Under | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 74cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 27c | 433.84$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.29 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 48c | 429.72$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.42 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 30c | 176.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 69c | 148.25$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 67c | 141.76$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 67c | 141.72$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 41c | 129.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 41c | 124.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Over | 40c | 103.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 32c | 69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d9…99c9backed Over | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf1…e41cbacked Under | 51c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b6…baf6backed Under | 47c | 58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf8…0338backed Over | 53c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea17…c6ccbacked Over | 57c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8317…0f04backed Under | 43c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7471…28f1backed Under | 44c | 53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc65…a48ebacked Over | 56c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 44c | 45.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b39…d209backed Under | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa16…165bbacked Over | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa02…3367backed Over | 61c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232d…0cadbacked Under | 41c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…73a5backed Over | 59c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…f049backed Under | 39c | 41.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…3d6fbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 68c | 37.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 71c | 36.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 34c | 34.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 46c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 565 | 45.5%257 W · 308 L | -24.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 70c | 22.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 70c | 20.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 78cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Beijing Guoan FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.