CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TNT vs ex-Flame Sharks (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf545e5057eda2c19524efd2bc48be1b81f1bca2eeafb394fd5b6ce35eeb72a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Flame Sharksof TNT, ex-Flame Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TNT | 2c | 9,929$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.39 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked TNT | 48c | 2,300$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TNT | 51c | 1,079$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.89 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed TNT | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked TNT | 50c | 800$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.45 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed ex-Flame Sharks | 50c | 797$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.53 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked ex-Flame Sharks | 53c | 756.13$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.73 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed ex-Flame Sharks | 48c | 668.38$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.56 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked ex-Flame Sharks | 53c | 635.89$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.87 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed TNT | 48c | 520$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.15 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed ex-Flame Sharks | 53c | 413.21$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.21 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked ex-Flame Sharks | 50c | 400$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked ex-Flame Sharks | 50c | 382$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Flame Sharks | 50c | 365.1$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.8 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked ex-Flame Sharks | 53c | 338.24$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.24 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-Flame Sharks | 54c | 329$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.85 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed ex-Flame Sharks | 57c | 237.93$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…aec0backed TNT | 47c | 234.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TNT | 48c | 210.18$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked ex-Flame Sharks | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked TNT | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed TNT | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TNT | 49c | 184.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.31 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed TNT | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed TNT | 40c | 132.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…6f9cbacked TNT | 51c | 110.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked ex-Flame Sharks | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked TNT | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked ex-Flame Sharks | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed TNT | 50c | 86.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed ex-Flame Sharks | 51c | 86.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed ex-Flame Sharks | 50c | 45.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed TNT | 60c | 43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked TNT | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked ex-Flame Sharks | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed TNT | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…fb43backed ex-Flame Sharks | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed ex-Flame Sharks | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…375ebacked TNT | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed ex-Flame Sharks | 51c | 39.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da7…f04bbacked ex-Flame Sharks | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bff…267ebacked TNT | 57c | 37.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked TNT | 49c | 35.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed ex-Flame Sharks | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…1481backed TNT | 72c | 27.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…a5fbbacked TNT | 56c | 26.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 63cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…c8f4backed ex-Flame Sharks | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TNT vs ex-Flame Sharks (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: TNT vs ex-Flame Sharks - Map 2 Winnerex-Flame Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.