CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs FOLHA AMARELA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf69f0bc0371ed7b95e9a06128f1453ce7e6a8d715af48faa73e14589cfc5b30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bounty Hunters Esportsof Bounty Hunters Esports, FOLHA AMARELA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,750 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x679d…6f07backed FOLHA AMARELA | 6c | 821$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed FOLHA AMARELA | 34c | 594.6$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.17 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 66c | 564.3$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.86 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked FOLHA AMARELA | 36c | 460.42$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 68c | 441.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.92 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed FOLHA AMARELA | 35c | 427.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.63 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 65c | 307.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed FOLHA AMARELA | 31c | 234.51$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 37c | 232.72$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed FOLHA AMARELA | 33c | 229.51$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 64c | 216.8$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed FOLHA AMARELA | 36c | 197.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.45 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 65c | 151.28$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed FOLHA AMARELA | 40c | 124.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d23…2008backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 79c | 122.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 74c | 92.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 121 | 58.7%71 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FOLHA AMARELA | 39c | 74.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 60c | 73.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 62c | 60.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 77c | 58.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked FOLHA AMARELA | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed FOLHA AMARELA | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed FOLHA AMARELA | 36c | 31.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0077…44a7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa391…dd32backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 65c | 23.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222d…40b9backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 75c | 15.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs FOLHA AMARELA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs FOLHA AMARELA - Map 2 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.