Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf8341c9a447743e0d920998b9a103bc71a50cf665d60ed1b62377a7a1487148
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof Xtreme Gaming, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d36…f787backed GamerLegion | 56c | 11,553$6,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,042.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 5,198$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.05 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed GamerLegion | 55c | 1,030$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.06 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -13.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 940$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.6 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed GamerLegion | 69c | 863$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.03 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 858.07$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.55 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 853$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.43 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 410.19$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.3 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 384.75$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.19 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 306.25$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.81 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked GamerLegion | 55c | 299.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 270.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.3 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 256$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked GamerLegion | 54c | 244.81$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.61 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…db1ebacked GamerLegion | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93aa…6ac0backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 184.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 169.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed GamerLegion | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…1ce7backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 137$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x657a…d1f4backed GamerLegion | 54c | 134.56$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed GamerLegion | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 127.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 119.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 112.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 227 | 38.3%87 W · 140 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d3…fc0ebacked GamerLegion | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…b406backed GamerLegion | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…5bbabacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…1204backed GamerLegion | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…e601backed GamerLegion | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 76.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…99b2backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 76.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…cfcbbacked GamerLegion | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 57.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed GamerLegion | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…138abacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 46.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…3f7bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…248abacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 38.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…c186backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e5…8e79backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed GamerLegion | 55c | 31.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5000…c2bebacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked GamerLegion | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group StageGamerLegion won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Game 1: Ends in Daytime?Yes won
- Game 2: Ends in Daytime?No won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.