Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfa3cb62c09184cc29463761fb61b7129677ee8654266550885fc3df4fc19151
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 51c | 4,707$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.23 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Over | 49c | 4,308$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.09 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a22…2dcebacked Under | 60c | 620.07$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.04 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 40c | 528.04$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.19 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Over | 49c | 498.93$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.62 | 494 | 61.3%303 W · 191 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Under | 61c | 244.15$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.93 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Under | 53c | 229.76$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.46 | 246 | 56.1%138 W · 108 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb1…b580backed Over | 50c | 194.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Over | 40c | 135.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 390 | 55.4%216 W · 174 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 62c | 122.37$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Over | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 366 | 60.1%220 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Over | 40c | 97.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b02…ec47backed Under | 20c | 96.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 46c | 85.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Over | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 47c | 63.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 39c | 60.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed Over | 40c | 60.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…dacfbacked Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 289 | 65.1%188 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Over | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +16.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Over | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…b8bebacked Over | 49c | 34.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…b9f8backed Over | 46c | 31.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Over | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 48c | 28.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 80c | 26.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 54c | 22.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 406 | 41.9%170 W · 236 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 78c | 19.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 79c | 13.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.76 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)Weibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.