Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfa42a01fef23f66a2ee7b28f7a25b8dd1ac9788078e2359d6bc3e17618f5909
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under | 7c | 1,682$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.95 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Over | 49c | 1,030$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 51c | 569.8$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.2 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Under | 50c | 496.3$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.15 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Over | 50c | 485.48$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.15 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…e350backed Under | 51c | 305$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe532…b5c7backed Under | 7c | 300$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Over | 44c | 264.64$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.44 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Under | 56c | 214.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Under | 53c | 191.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Over | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7463…5850backed Under | 59c | 88.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Under | 51c | 52.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +76%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)JD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.