Tennis · resolved market
Kigali: Calvin Hemery vs Ryan Nijboer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfb01c69c75744bed0d5de499d57c98e8535b8a4a6b9b486a5069e26c3609fda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Calvin Hemeryof Calvin Hemery, Ryan Nijboer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ryan Nijboer | 0c | 10,039$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Ryan Nijboer | 27c | 710$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.5 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Ryan Nijboer | 29c | 694.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Calvin Hemery | 73c | 541.14$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.79 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Ryan Nijboer | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Calvin Hemery | 63c | 476.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.3 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Calvin Hemery | 72c | 435.62$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.17 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ryan Nijboer | 27c | 372.41$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.46 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Calvin Hemery | 64c | 338.92$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.23 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ryan Nijboer | 34c | 236.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Ryan Nijboer | 36c | 224.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Ryan Nijboer | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Calvin Hemery | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Ryan Nijboer | 33c | 148.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Calvin Hemery | 55c | 129.78$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Calvin Hemery | 59c | 121.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Ryan Nijboer | 21c | 90.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Calvin Hemery | 63c | 86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Calvin Hemery | 68c | 67.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked Calvin Hemery | 64c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…1bd7backed Calvin Hemery | 76c | 57.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 109 | 67.9%74 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked Calvin Hemery | 63c | 55.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Ryan Nijboer | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed Calvin Hemery | 66c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 185 | 41.1%76 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Calvin Hemery | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Calvin Hemery | 65c | 29.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Calvin Hemery | 65c | 28.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Calvin Hemery | 57c | 22.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Calvin Hemery | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.