Lol · resolved market
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs French Flair (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Group
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfd695328adc1630123333fa41c15d78dacc26bee0ae12fd7fbbfba7a9ac6e7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- French Flairof Vitality.Bee, French Flair
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Vitality.Bee | 0c | 7,356$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1c9fbacked Vitality.Bee | 5c | 1,375$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed French Flair | 73c | 1,360$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.2 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8348…de9fbacked Vitality.Bee | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vitality.Bee | 28c | 974.05$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.62 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed French Flair | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Vitality.Bee | 24c | 566.52$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.15 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked French Flair | 74c | 540$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…2c8abacked Vitality.Bee | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00d…9f9cbacked French Flair | 73c | 448.64$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Vitality.Bee | 24c | 429.84$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Vitality.Bee | 28c | 400.4$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.85 | 392 | 39%153 W · 239 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed French Flair | 75c | 367.18$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Vitality.Bee | 31c | 350$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed French Flair | 68c | 293.45$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.84 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed French Flair | 69c | 291$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…972ebacked Vitality.Bee | 7c | 290$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Vitality.Bee | 27c | 287.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed French Flair | 78c | 274.7$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 249 | 39%97 W · 152 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vitality.Bee | 18c | 247.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked French Flair | 64c | 218.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Vitality.Bee | 30c | 194.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked French Flair | 66c | 151.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked French Flair | 74c | 146.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed French Flair | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Vitality.Bee | 24c | 133.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Vitality.Bee | 31c | 130.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…e4c2backed French Flair | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Vitality.Bee | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Vitality.Bee | 25c | 75.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Vitality.Bee | 21c | 73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1702…fe81backed French Flair | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Vitality.Bee | 25c | 57.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Vitality.Bee | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…adbdbacked French Flair | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Vitality.Bee | 29c | 38.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…9077backed French Flair | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…c530backed French Flair | 75c | 26.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…58b1backed French Flair | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked French Flair | 73c | 25.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…f487backed French Flair | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944b…34e8backed French Flair | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…08fbbacked French Flair | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32c2…8977backed French Flair | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb970…2ed0backed French Flair | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.