Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Santander Men: Pedro Vives Marcos vs Sergi Fita Juan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0174a6745d99af4793d7c8f8118eda6e2ce968c97c728bb854e23dd2e6efcac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sergi Fita Juanof Pedro Vives Marcos, Sergi Fita Juan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Sergi Fita Juan | 25c | 635.73$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.08 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 61c | 391.12$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.46 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 63c | 338.59$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.64 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 67c | 299.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 80c | 227.48$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.38 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Sergi Fita Juan | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 43c | 188$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Sergi Fita Juan | 54c | 170$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Sergi Fita Juan | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 36c | 139.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 329 | 37.1%122 W · 207 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sergi Fita Juan | 47c | 135$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Sergi Fita Juan | 24c | 100.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Sergi Fita Juan | 39c | 84.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sergi Fita Juan | 74c | 52.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…df87backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 69c | 30.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 72c | 20.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…8ba9backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.