Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: AKA HERO vs ALTERNATE aTTaX - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc021d9e56652a99cb0dcfc6bdf828f11bc09048b4df50511acf33fffd8941b3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AKA HEROof AKA HERO, ALTERNATE aTTaX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked AKA HERO | 56c | 1,833$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.11 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed AKA HERO | 55c | 1,180$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.87 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed AKA HERO | 71c | 808.14$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.93 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 50c | 657.36$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.88 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 40c | 542.98$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 38c | 473.03$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.93 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed AKA HERO | 50c | 462.62$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.24 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed AKA HERO | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked AKA HERO | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked AKA HERO | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed AKA HERO | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…5254backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 28c | 158.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 29c | 155.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 57c | 129.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed AKA HERO | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed AKA HERO | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 64c | 97.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 64c | 97.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed AKA HERO | 63c | 91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked AKA HERO | 63c | 88.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 54c | 80.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 37c | 71.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed AKA HERO | 48c | 71.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed AKA HERO | 51c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed AKA HERO | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 28c | 58.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed AKA HERO | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed AKA HERO | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed AKA HERO | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed AKA HERO | 59c | 30.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed AKA HERO | 53c | 29.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9aa…a9f8backed AKA HERO | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed AKA HERO | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: AKA HERO vs ALTERNATE aTTaX - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: AKA HERO vs ALTERNATE aTTaX (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group StageAKA HERO won
- Valorant: AKA HERO vs ALTERNATE aTTaX - Map 1 WinnerALTERNATE aTTaX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.