Tennis · resolved market
ITF Leipzig: Elena Malygina vs Laima Vladson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc038c0637bb623b27720fccf1d1231d103367b559a73107026531a092c2a68e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Laima Vladsonof Elena Malygina, Laima Vladson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Laima Vladson | 80c | 9,111$7,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.58 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Elena Malygina | 14c | 9,008$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.49 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Elena Malygina | 27c | 3,753$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.84 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Laima Vladson | 42c | 2,349$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.66 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Laima Vladson | 32c | 2,274$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.32 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Laima Vladson | 27c | 1,167$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.83 | 1,773 | 48.6%861 W · 912 L | +28.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Elena Malygina | 68c | 879.04$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.74 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Elena Malygina | 15c | 723.12$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Elena Malygina | 3c | 467.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 1,013 | 53.8%545 W · 468 L | +35.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Elena Malygina | 11c | 385.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Laima Vladson | 21c | 333.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.33 | 2,575 | 46.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Elena Malygina | 18c | 333$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Elena Malygina | 26c | 292.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Elena Malygina | 14c | 270.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Elena Malygina | 27c | 268.31$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Elena Malygina | 16c | 262.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Elena Malygina | 16c | 262.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 857 | 41.7%357 W · 500 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Laima Vladson | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 941 | 49.5%466 W · 475 L | +17.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Laima Vladson | 21c | 214.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.29 | 3,204 | 40.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Laima Vladson | 32c | 212.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.5 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Laima Vladson | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 912 | 55.9%510 W · 402 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Elena Malygina | 16c | 190.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 393 | 40.7%160 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Elena Malygina | 14c | 164.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 663 | 47.1%312 W · 351 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Elena Malygina | 15c | 142.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 361 | 46.3%167 W · 194 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Laima Vladson | 39c | 115.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 3,412 | 39.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L | -11.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Laima Vladson | 28c | 102.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.09 | 335 | 40.6%136 W · 199 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked Elena Malygina | 15c | 100.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Elena Malygina | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 225 | 40.4%91 W · 134 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Elena Malygina | 27c | 96.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Laima Vladson | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 479 | 56.8%272 W · 207 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Elena Malygina | 29c | 93.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 184 | 59.8%110 W · 74 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Elena Malygina | 23c | 92.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Elena Malygina | 41c | 83.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 507 | 46.5%236 W · 271 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Elena Malygina | 23c | 80.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Elena Malygina | 16c | 76.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Laima Vladson | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 1,001 | 38.4%384 W · 617 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Laima Vladson | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 554 | 37.5%208 W · 346 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Elena Malygina | 40c | 65.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Elena Malygina | 26c | 57.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Laima Vladson | 32c | 56.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…93f9backed Elena Malygina | 38c | 48.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Laima Vladson | 36c | 46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Laima Vladson | 73c | 37.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Elena Malygina | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e7…55a9backed Elena Malygina | 73c | 26.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Laima Vladson | 43c | 24.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 1,212 | 52%630 W · 582 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee9…387bbacked Elena Malygina | 73c | 21.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed Elena Malygina | 67c | 15.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.