Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UAB vs. Memphis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0806760c350761eb173ff8d218ee02633acef766b5a57cbfd1b754428220a39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Memphisof UAB, Memphis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Memphis | 64c | 49,918$32,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,751.05 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked UAB | 36c | 23,266$8,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,483.54 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Memphis | 55c | 6,397$3,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.51 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Memphis | 63c | 2,639$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.25 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Memphis | 67c | 1,901$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.3 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Memphis | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked UAB | 38c | 892$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.96 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked UAB | 37c | 839.68$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.68 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed UAB | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Memphis | 58c | 487.2$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.25 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed UAB | 36c | 440.28$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.97 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88e8…d208backed UAB | 33c | 334.18$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed UAB | 24c | 311.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Memphis | 64c | 233.21$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.21 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked UAB | 37c | 140.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Memphis | 62c | 132$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Memphis | 62c | 112.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Memphis | 63c | 84.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Memphis | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked UAB | 37c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Memphis | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Memphis | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Memphis | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Memphis | 66c | 37.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Memphis | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.