TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Seton Hall Piratesof Seton Hall Pirates, Washington State Cougars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,325
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,325 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Washington State Cougars54c38,779$20,941 inLost-$20,940.873148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Seton Hall Pirates48c26,134$12,457 inWon+$13,676.4674649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Seton Hall Pirates46c20,000$9,200 inWon+$10,80013649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c9…96d9backed Washington State Cougars53c15,088$7,939 inLost-$7,939.312951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Washington State Cougars53c10,114$5,360 inLost-$5,360.421533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Seton Hall Pirates47c8,264$3,884 inWon+$4,379.9512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Seton Hall Pirates46c5,000$2,300 inWon+$2,70090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Seton Hall Pirates47c2,050$964 inWon+$1,086.7117650.6%89 W · 87 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Seton Hall Pirates47c1,000$470 inWon+$53032337.2%120 W · 203 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Seton Hall Pirates49c989$482 inWon+$506.8933438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Seton Hall Pirates48c746$358 inWon+$387.9212853.1%68 W · 60 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Seton Hall Pirates47c601$279 inWon+$321.534,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Seton Hall Pirates51c549$279 inWon+$270.052,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Seton Hall Pirates47c425.53$200 inWon+$225.531,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Seton Hall Pirates47c212.77$100 inWon+$112.7750546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Seton Hall Pirates47c171.69$81 inWon+$913,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Seton Hall Pirates47c100$47 inWon+$531,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Seton Hall Pirates47c88$41 inWon+$46.6434947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Seton Hall Pirates47c78$37 inWon+$41.125,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Seton Hall Pirates48c30$14 inWon+$15.735243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.