Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0996b889ec084979412ec1796e322def559fec8c61c1f40d8f84feaae92bf5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Power Rangers, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Lynx | 34c | 2,701$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.32 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Power Rangers | 65c | 2,161$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.11 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Power Rangers | 63c | 1,293$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.14 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Lynx | 36c | 809.99$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Lynx | 35c | 609.06$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.08 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Power Rangers | 75c | 446.31$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.64 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Lynx | 53c | 212.18$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Power Rangers | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Power Rangers | 67c | 176.4$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Power Rangers | 56c | 168$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.07 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…396dbacked Team Lynx | 17c | 160.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Power Rangers | 69c | 145.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Power Rangers | 61c | 117.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Lynx | 36c | 108.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Team Lynx | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Power Rangers | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Power Rangers | 50c | 90.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Lynx | 39c | 86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…c067backed Power Rangers | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Lynx | 35c | 43.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Power Rangers | 45c | 32.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Power Rangers | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Power Rangers | 61c | 21.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsTeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerTeam Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.