Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e3d6e854be447baf5950324a0b67d59d1ae098f63f397a66d7924aed65f44d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Lynxof Power Rangers, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Power Rangers | 70c | 11,946$8,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,363.59 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Lynx | 31c | 7,653$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,303.04 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Lynx | 17c | 3,512$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.83 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Lynx | 24c | 2,713$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.48 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Power Rangers | 67c | 1,514$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.29 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Team Lynx | 45c | 1,116$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.18 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Lynx | 27c | 1,100$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Power Rangers | 69c | 1,012$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.57 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Lynx | 44c | 833.38$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.69 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Lynx | 29c | 800$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Power Rangers | 77c | 508.72$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.48 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Power Rangers | 80c | 458$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.31 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Team Lynx | 36c | 403.94$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.45 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Power Rangers | 73c | 376.81$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.07 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Team Lynx | 22c | 320.33$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.08 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Lynx | 27c | 278.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.61 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Power Rangers | 80c | 258$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.76 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Team Lynx | 33c | 189.61$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Power Rangers | 67c | 141$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Lynx | 26c | 140.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.67 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Power Rangers | 79c | 116.95$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.28 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Power Rangers | 65c | 104.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Power Rangers | 79c | 100.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…c067backed Power Rangers | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked Power Rangers | 51c | 86.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Lynx | 44c | 81.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Power Rangers | 64c | 81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Power Rangers | 53c | 71.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Team Lynx | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Power Rangers | 48c | 62.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed Team Lynx | 35c | 57.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Power Rangers | 74c | 53.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6028…4300backed Power Rangers | 68c | 16.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsTeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.