Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Anyang vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0e6ce93f0ada7084e1a16b83516bd7cae7120ea24e408d6dcaca96173649810
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfab…ccf9backed Yes | 32c | 2,033$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 76c | 728.66$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.9 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 687.76$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.6 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Yes | 28c | 635.96$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.07 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 614.29$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 549.31$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.81 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 65c | 406.05$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.46 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 199.98$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 17c | 155.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 72c | 127.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 112.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…d8a6backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 68c | 97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…78e1backed No | 35c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 21c | 80.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 73c | 78.17$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 70c | 66.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 66c | 64.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…1a59backed Yes | 17c | 59.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 20c | 53.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 28c | 51.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…12b2backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…444abacked Yes | 27c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 67c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 73c | 33.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 63 | 82.5%52 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5af6…842ebacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Anyang vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-08-08?Yes won
- Will FC Anyang win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.