Tennis · resolved market
Libema Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Juan Pablo Ficovich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc14a3c56a5d42f0a9880c7abb41ab3bf9d75b34b08884ad347bdd47a85e8e878
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martin Dammof Martin Damm, Juan Pablo Ficovich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 6c | 2,780$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.29 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 22c | 2,707$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.91 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 4c | 2,333$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 12c | 1,794$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.79 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 16c | 691$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.14 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 21c | 578$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.38 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 9c | 433$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 20c | 418.61$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Martin Damm | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…a349backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 8c | 348$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Martin Damm | 78c | 337$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 10c | 266.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Martin Damm | 79c | 212$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Martin Damm | 79c | 199.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 433 | 36.7%159 W · 274 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 19c | 176.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 13c | 163.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Martin Damm | 79c | 117$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c39…d10bbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 12c | 100.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Martin Damm | 80c | 96.96$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 19c | 83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Martin Damm | 79c | 62.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 19c | 54.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…3abfbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 267 | 34.1%91 W · 176 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 21c | 52.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Martin Damm | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…83a0backed Martin Damm | 79c | 31.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…dfcfbacked Martin Damm | 79c | 30.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Martin Damm | 79c | 25.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…bfa7backed Martin Damm | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 282 | 65.6%185 W · 97 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Martin Damm | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46ea…d849backed Martin Damm | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 163 | 70.6%115 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Libema Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Juan Pablo Ficovichthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Damm vs FicovichDamm won
- Set Handicap: Damm (-1.5) vs Ficovich (+1.5)Damm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.