Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Tabilo vs Torres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc160603087054407c8271805cbdc76784748e876a57bdd5aa42d13843f3ef47d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Torresof Tabilo, Torres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tabilo | 47c | 1,211$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.82 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Torres | 49c | 957.65$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.4 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Torres | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd575…e017backed Tabilo | 45c | 444.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Tabilo | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Torres | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Torres | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Torres | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Tabilo | 13c | 174.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Torres | 51c | 160.95$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff8…bea7backed Torres | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Tabilo | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ce…11a2backed Torres | 49c | 97.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Torres | 56c | 83.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Torres | 48c | 56.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Tabilo | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tabilo | 44c | 48.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Tabilo | 45c | 42.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +48.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Torres | 48c | 38.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Torres | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d20…35c9backed Tabilo | 60c | 25.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Tabilo vs Torresthis page
- Estoril Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tiago TorresTiago Torres won
- Set 2 Winner: Tabilo vs TorresTorres won
- Set Handicap: Tabilo (-1.5) vs Torres (+1.5)Torres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.