MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc170178e0454a6bd0c4fdb7a6f42f629631bc99da359ef19a069e4ef8c96a860
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Samsung Lions, SSG Landers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed SSG Landers | 40c | 529.06$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.46 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Samsung Lions | 66c | 453.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.32 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed SSG Landers | 38c | 315.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Samsung Lions | 66c | 203.04$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 394 | 56.9%224 W · 170 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed SSG Landers | 36c | 177.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 600 | 39%234 W · 366 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 173.89$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Samsung Lions | 62c | 167.39$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 65c | 154.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…60febacked Samsung Lions | 73c | 135.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed SSG Landers | 27c | 107.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked SSG Landers | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Samsung Lions | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508e…5c09backed Samsung Lions | 65c | 83.17$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 80.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…3941backed SSG Landers | 35c | 79.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed SSG Landers | 38c | 78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Samsung Lions | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SSG Landers | 29c | 68.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked SSG Landers | 47c | 61.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SSG Landers | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 59.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed SSG Landers | 34c | 42.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed SSG Landers | 29c | 40.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed SSG Landers | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Samsung Lions | 73c | 29.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 22.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.