NHL · resolved market
KHL: Amur Khabarovsk vs. Ak Bars Kazan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc173c9c8feff4e5d8f6225f0fb8c0a605e1c9499737921dfef0db48176eef2bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ak Bars Kazanof Amur Khabarovsk, Ak Bars Kazan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52dd…a1cfbacked Amur Khabarovsk | 35c | 1,130$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a76…4fe9backed Amur Khabarovsk | 36c | 1,040$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Amur Khabarovsk | 37c | 1,037$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.71 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ak Bars Kazan | 63c | 995.31$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.27 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb6…efbebacked Amur Khabarovsk | 35c | 710$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…eb1dbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 64c | 690$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d57…d1d0backed Ak Bars Kazan | 65c | 660$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8de…7051backed Amur Khabarovsk | 36c | 540$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…d24dbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 65c | 470$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…e6c6backed Ak Bars Kazan | 65c | 410$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…c613backed Ak Bars Kazan | 64c | 350$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…ee8ebacked Amur Khabarovsk | 35c | 330$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…e081backed Ak Bars Kazan | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc497…d6e4backed Ak Bars Kazan | 64c | 270$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6d…bab2backed Ak Bars Kazan | 64c | 270$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…405fbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 65c | 205$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Amur Khabarovsk | 36c | 155.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 64c | 147.28$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…bd8abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 65c | 125$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Ak Bars Kazan | 64c | 116$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Ak Bars Kazan | 64c | 88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Ak Bars Kazan | 61c | 74.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…d4afbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 68c | 59.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Ak Bars Kazan | 64c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Amur Khabarovsk | 38c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Amur Khabarovsk | 36c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…2a42backed Ak Bars Kazan | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Ak Bars Kazan | 64c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Amur Khabarovsk | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Amur Khabarovsk | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 62c | 19.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 128 | 26.6%34 W · 94 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.