Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc185ef717b901728a0ad910780691ac5494ed988d8faad987a7cc09b0c925e59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DN SOOPers Challengersof T1 Academy, DN SOOPers Challengers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 56c | 2,785$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.31 | 969 | 48.6%471 W · 498 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed T1 Academy | 44c | 950.94$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.41 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 57c | 730.65$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.18 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed T1 Academy | 43c | 697.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.13 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed T1 Academy | 43c | 655.54$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.9 | 1,492 | 48.4%722 W · 770 L | +47.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked T1 Academy | 44c | 524.23$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.66 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed T1 Academy | 44c | 459.69$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.26 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed T1 Academy | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked T1 Academy | 36c | 348.45$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.16 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 58c | 339.74$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.69 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed T1 Academy | 43c | 298.31$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.27 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed T1 Academy | 43c | 280.04$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.42 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…c137backed T1 Academy | 48c | 250.66$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.12 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed T1 Academy | 42c | 172.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 52c | 169.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.3 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 57c | 146.13$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 57c | 145.28$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 52c | 141$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6a…81d6backed T1 Academy | 42c | 101.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed T1 Academy | 47c | 98.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 57c | 76.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d2…1fbfbacked T1 Academy | 44c | 63.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 57c | 51.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -12.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed T1 Academy | 43c | 45.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed T1 Academy | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed T1 Academy | 43c | 31.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 51c | 28.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9b…964fbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 57c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2T1 Academy won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 WinnerDN SOOPers Challengers won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 WinnerT1 Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.