Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 136.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1b937861105932c5bbc7fdb0d93c3c472e5bbeeceecb8c1ba54208cea976999
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 53c | 2,422$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.81 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 1,726$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.93 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 1,053$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.48 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 73c | 492.7$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.34 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Under | 26c | 460.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.68 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 62c | 437.31$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.82 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 51c | 420.44$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.02 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 358$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.2 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 337$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.85 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Under | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f6…d818backed Under | 42c | 239.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 62c | 144.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 133.38$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Under | 19c | 94.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 136.5this page
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia MountaineersWest Virginia Mountaineers won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 133.5Over won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 134.5Over won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 135.5Over won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 137.5Over won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 139.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-3.5)West Virginia Mountaineers won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-4.5)West Virginia Mountaineers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.