Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 137.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd25f87a9f3055a77d2e1589ef870ea10a06c774448656aebf8556420f706ea6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $694,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $696,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $694,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 58c | 630,724$365,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265,198 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 42c | 300,000$126,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Under | 42c | 175,000$73,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,500 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Under | 42c | 129,998$54,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,699 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 49c | 16,405$8,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,301.8 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 46c | 11,420$5,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,202.17 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 43c | 11,000$4,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,730 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Over | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 6,065$3,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.8 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 3,243$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.45 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 1,700$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.5 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 45c | 1,660$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Under | 45c | 1,044$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 53c | 1,026$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.71 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 45c | 777.78$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 44c | 572.73$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Under | 68c | 546$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7392…77abbacked Under | 44c | 505.05$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 45c | 457.03$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.07 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc82a…cc74backed Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 417.02$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.02 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 50c | 369.36$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.34 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Under | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 50c | 250$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Under | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 43c | 239.93$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.17 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Over | 25c | 201.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.74 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 51c | 195.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…5f4ebacked Under | 47c | 142.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…ce53backed Under | 44c | 140$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Under | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b35…b38ebacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…6f40backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Under | 46c | 92.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…c90ebacked Under | 45c | 85.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under | 40c | 65.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…7afcbacked Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9899…a7f5backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…1e27backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29b…6012backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Under | 45c | 42.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 45c | 25.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…3a51backed Under | 70c | 23.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 137.5this page
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia MountaineersWest Virginia Mountaineers won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 133.5Over won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 134.5Over won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 135.5Over won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 136.5Over won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 139.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-3.5)West Virginia Mountaineers won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-4.5)West Virginia Mountaineers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.