Tennis · resolved market
San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1cae6b3b9dbd9d262e4818ee7b26ef34ae2b535d91a5ebda862dfb9eb3e80f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vilius Gaubasof Vilius Gaubas, Genaro Alberto Olivieri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 20c | 2,354$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.56 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Vilius Gaubas | 78c | 1,879$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.22 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 13c | 1,320$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.33 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 14c | 1,250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 13c | 1,221$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.75 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 21c | 1,044$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…841dbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…6e6fbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Vilius Gaubas | 73c | 849.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 12c | 486.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 18c | 435.22$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 15c | 336.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 20c | 312.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Vilius Gaubas | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 15c | 263.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 13c | 215.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 27c | 215.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 10c | 210.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…bc77backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 13c | 209.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 25c | 200.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 10c | 181.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 14c | 175$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 16c | 122$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 23c | 106.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 25c | 95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 13c | 83.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 19c | 71.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed50…7453backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Vilius Gaubas | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Vilius Gaubas | 80c | 24.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Vilius Gaubas | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Vilius Gaubas | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Genaro Alberto Olivierithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Gaubas vs OlivieriGaubas won
- Set Handicap: Gaubas (-1.5) vs Olivieri (+1.5)Gaubas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.