MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1f79e40e1f5dfbf4b1144c69ad2bcff6b4aa89b1338efb16f8a0a267597929d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Samsung Lions, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Samsung Lions | 74c | 1,440$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.51 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 1,053$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.43 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 1,030$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.65 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 975.56$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 15c | 213.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 8c | 197$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 186.34$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Samsung Lions | 66c | 151.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Samsung Lions | 67c | 135$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 17c | 126.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…fd61backed Kiwoom Heroes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 105.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 10c | 101.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Samsung Lions | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Samsung Lions | 75c | 91.4$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 27c | 90.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 89.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 731 | 43.4%317 W · 414 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Kiwoom Heroes | 15c | 79.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Samsung Lions | 79c | 78.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 73.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Samsung Lions | 77c | 67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 66c | 66.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 63.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 54.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 50.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 49.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Samsung Lions | 65c | 47.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Samsung Lions | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 589 | 38.9%229 W · 360 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Samsung Lions | 67c | 32.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Samsung Lions | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…9c83backed Samsung Lions | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Samsung Lions | 65c | 28.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Samsung Lions | 65c | 25.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Samsung Lions | 67c | 20.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5542…e927backed Samsung Lions | 66c | 18.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Samsung Lions | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.