Champions League · resolved market
Will LAFC beat Flamengo?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1f99708fefaa10dd9526152e35e362f37f532e66b32d884ec70ea510df0e9ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked No | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 13c | 1,554$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.42 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 72c | 1,202$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.38 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 27c | 1,013$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.39 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 77c | 966.09$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.83 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 73c | 693.68$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.12 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 19c | 286.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 79c | 133.33$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…f920backed Yes | 21c | 109.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…e776backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…0df4backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Yes | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -57%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…a458backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5c…a805backed Yes | 64c | 20.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…2297backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…cf35backed Yes | 65c | 17.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LAFC beat Flamengo?this page
- Will Flamengo beat LAFC?No won
- Will LAFC vs. Flamengo end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.