La Liga · resolved market
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc223589e5824e965a7dce84ff4c1de0660830816c36330c893428beac9c11b70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 74c | 1,126$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.24 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 623.88$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.06 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 26c | 590.46$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.94 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 421.85$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.89 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 25c | 344.07$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.09 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 295.66$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.94 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 75c | 276.71$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 12c | 166.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 75c | 140.89$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.58 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 25c | 132.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.61 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 28c | 132.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 26c | 125$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…cec1backed Yes | 61c | 98.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…9030backed Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed No | 37c | 80.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 80c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 64.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 26c | 61.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked No | 75c | 58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…52dbbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fc…9b30backed Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 20.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 79c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will Córdoba CF vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.