South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-01-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2259c9b6546c3d49c286129ce94b20e28a2d942ceeef7e5bd74a0d141c3716d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 3,097$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.36 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 3,000$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.97 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 46c | 2,544$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.4 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 48c | 2,189$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.92 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 46c | 1,868$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.44 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 44c | 1,560$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.68 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 56c | 700$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.5 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 55c | 490.91$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.91 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 46c | 434.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 29c | 329.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.53 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 48c | 310$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 56c | 295.04$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 41c | 244.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 43c | 201.37$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 22c | 194$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 188.42$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 184.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5048…4b29backed Yes | 24c | 183.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 56c | 159.71$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdd…749dbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…871cbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 72c | 85.23$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 47c | 82.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 54c | 66.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…18dcbacked Yes | 50c | 66.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Yes | 40c | 57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 49c | 56.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd327…7606backed Yes | 45c | 49.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 45c | 37.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3174…b136backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 47c | 27.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 26.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 50c | 22.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed7e…c090backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 75c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-01-27?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-01-27?No won
- Will CA Tucumán vs. CA Central Córdoba end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.