South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-02-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc23716d2c642ed7395de147927f94e8982228e5435026840bdb3065c7afab027
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed Yes | 52c | 11,033$5,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,736.96 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 48c | 5,760$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.2 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 2,309$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.15 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 48c | 2,042$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.78 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 1,541$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.66 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 39c | 1,216$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.51 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42f…8c01backed No | 46c | 1,095$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.12 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 49c | 622.74$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.01 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 495$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.28 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Yes | 47c | 391.49$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 46c | 358.54$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.19 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 322.84$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.61 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb60…09bdbacked No | 53c | 254.13$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…d6d7backed Yes | 47c | 228.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 49c | 205.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…00c3backed Yes | 47c | 204.89$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8d…9901backed No | 53c | 179.72$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed No | 46c | 167$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.71 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 163.68$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca4…6a36backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 53c | 93.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 18c | 66.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 79c | 56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 32c | 46.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…2aa7backed No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 70c | 45.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x852d…c3dfbacked Yes | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 46c | 40.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d3…c5debacked Yes | 50c | 33.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c52…0d1abacked Yes | 46c | 32.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 61c | 31.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…6ae0backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45f…f4d8backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd777…daf8backed Yes | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 54c | 22.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed No | 52c | 22.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 48c | 21.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…b669backed Yes | 53c | 18.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-02-20?this page
- Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-02-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.