CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs BIG Academy (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #4 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc243457b5fb95267514440b23220de677ff10087a16031eb5dc26e5ce64912e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, BIG Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f17…7035backed BESTIA | 80c | 3,127$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.73 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed BIG Academy | 19c | 2,621$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.23 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed BIG Academy | 21c | 1,909$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.81 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked BIG Academy | 18c | 1,493$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.71 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed BIG Academy | 19c | 1,410$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.71 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BIG Academy | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed BIG Academy | 19c | 649.24$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.59 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked BIG Academy | 21c | 551.24$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.05 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -8.1wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked BIG Academy | 20c | 548.76$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.25 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked BIG Academy | 21c | 518.28$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed BESTIA | 79c | 474.76$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.69 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed BIG Academy | 23c | 415.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0d…32e1backed BIG Academy | 21c | 356.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed BIG Academy | 23c | 336.15$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BESTIA | 79c | 270$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed BIG Academy | 20c | 245.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed BESTIA | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked BESTIA | 77c | 199.98$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed BESTIA | 79c | 190.54$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…381abacked BIG Academy | 8c | 161.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed BIG Academy | 21c | 141.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed BIG Academy | 25c | 125$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…a40abacked BESTIA | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked BESTIA | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed BIG Academy | 42c | 121.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked BESTIA | 80c | 115$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2a…bff2backed BESTIA | 80c | 103.93$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed BESTIA | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed BESTIA | 78c | 96.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed BIG Academy | 17c | 95.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed BESTIA | 79c | 93.74$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BIG Academy | 18c | 91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked BIG Academy | 21c | 90.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed BIG Academy | 21c | 68.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed BESTIA | 79c | 56.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 222 | 59.9%133 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed BESTIA | 80c | 55.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed BESTIA | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked BESTIA | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed BESTIA | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f6…841abacked BIG Academy | 37c | 38.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked BESTIA | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed BESTIA | 78c | 18.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed BESTIA | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 123 | 68.3%84 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs BIG Academy (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #4 Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs BIG Academy - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs BIG Academy - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.