CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Infinite (BO3) - United21 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3462cd32103bb81b56c93a19f574f896263f41da093e4a89b7577ea65dd119c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Infiniteof AaB Esport, Infinite
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AaB Esport | 28c | 794.05$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.6 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Infinite | 45c | 395.02$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.22 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed AaB Esport | 55c | 238.3$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.99 | 388 | 39.4%153 W · 235 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked AaB Esport | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked AaB Esport | 54c | 179.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.26 | 264 | 54.2%143 W · 121 L | -19.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Infinite | 68c | 151.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed AaB Esport | 51c | 132.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed AaB Esport | 9c | 128.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Infinite | 58c | 113.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 530 | 55.5%294 W · 236 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Infinite | 62c | 108.21$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Infinite | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed AaB Esport | 55c | 103$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Infinite | 44c | 88.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6342…0546backed AaB Esport | 19c | 85.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked AaB Esport | 34c | 84.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed AaB Esport | 56c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Infinite | 45c | 62.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Infinite | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8131…758cbacked Infinite | 75c | 48.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d5…7c98backed Infinite | 53c | 38.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Infinite | 44c | 36.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed AaB Esport | 32c | 35.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 408 | 56.9%232 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked AaB Esport | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Infinite | 52c | 30.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked AaB Esport | 44c | 29.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed AaB Esport | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Infinite | 59c | 21.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked AaB Esport | 69c | 19.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Infinite (BO3) - United21 Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Infinite - Map 1 WinnerInfinite won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.