Tennis · resolved market
Targu Mures: Andrej Nedic vs Alan Rubio
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc378fe5415ffd4d761d2c7ffc075f60e9a07633e168668f7f847541e676b9837
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andrej Nedicof Andrej Nedic, Alan Rubio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1c0…ecf1backed Alan Rubio | 2c | 4,999$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alan Rubio | 10c | 2,760$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alan Rubio | 1c | 2,025$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alan Rubio | 12c | 1,849$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.83 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Alan Rubio | 13c | 1,404$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.57 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alan Rubio | 7c | 490.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Alan Rubio | 14c | 454.63$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Alan Rubio | 12c | 417.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Alan Rubio | 13c | 375.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alan Rubio | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alan Rubio | 12c | 248.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Alan Rubio | 13c | 194.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Alan Rubio | 13c | 154$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Alan Rubio | 14c | 134.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Alan Rubio | 8c | 132.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Alan Rubio | 12c | 128.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Alan Rubio | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09d…7aa3backed Alan Rubio | 17c | 118.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Alan Rubio | 11c | 104.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Alan Rubio | 16c | 64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Targu Mures: Andrej Nedic vs Alan Rubiothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Nedic vs RubioNedic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.